(JustPatriots.com)- A generic Republican candidate had an eight-point edge over a generic Democrat, up three points from the previous week.
A recent Rasmussen Reports poll found that 48% of likely U.S. voters would elect a Republican in the 2022 midterm elections, compared to 40% who would vote for the Democrat.
Only 4% indicated they’d vote for someone else, and 8% said they weren’t sure. However, the GOP’s margin grew by three points from the previous week, when it was 8 points, 47 to 42.
The tiny gain in Republican poll ratings follows the Supreme Court’s 5-4 rule reversing Roe v. Wade in the Dobbs case, which concluded the right to abortion is not in the Constitution and returned abortion legislation and controls to state legislatures.
Despite the Republicans’ recent gain, there are still four months until the election, so the generic ballot might yet shift.
Before the Democrats won the House for the first time in eight years, Rasmussen noticed they only had a 4-point edge on the generic congressional ballot in June 2018.
June 2018 was marginally up from May 2018, when Democrats only held a 1-point edge. In June, Democrats led 41 to 45 percent.
Plus, as the 2018 November midterm election loomed, the differences between Democrats and Republicans narrowed – Republicans had 46% to Democrats’ 45%.
In this survey, Republicans lead Democrats by 12 points among independents. 43% of non-affiliated voters indicated they’d vote for the GOP candidate and 31% for the Democrat.
27% of black voters and 43% of other minority groups would vote Republican if the election were conducted today. The proportion of black voters who will vote Republican is up 4% from last week.
Democrats have the support of 61% of black voters and 41% of other minorities. Last week, Democrats lost 4% of black voters.
Moreover, 88 percent of Republican voters say they will vote for their own party’s congressional candidate, but just 79 percent of Democrats say the same.
From July 5 to 7, Rasmussen Reports surveyed 2,500 probable U.S. voters. This poll has a 2% margin of error and 95% confidence.